Joint probability calculations w/ three variables

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Jared
Jared el 23 de Jul. de 2017
Respondida: Prasanth Sunkara el 27 de Jul. de 2017
Hi,
I have re-sampled three different variables simultaneously using the datasample function to create a 180x30,000 matrix of this re-sampled data. Effectively, I think of what I did in the first step as running 10,000 different simulations covering 180 months of time for three different variables since I'm dealing w/ financial data.
For each simulation I then compute the mean of each of the three variables. With some reshaping this gives me a 10,000x3 matrix where each row contains the mean of each of the three variables for a particular one of the 10,000 simulations.
With those particulars out of the way, what I'm trying to understand is how I calculate joint probabilities using this discrete simulated data. For example, how would I compute the probability of mean of X1<=10 & mean X2<=5 and mean X3<=8 using MATLAB and the 10,000x3 matrix above?

Respuesta aceptada

Prasanth Sunkara
Prasanth Sunkara el 27 de Jul. de 2017
You can combine the condition on all the three variables together in a single expression as shown below.
Let’s say z is a matrix of size 10000x3.
Assume the three variables are stored as below.
X1 = z(1,:); X2 = z(2,:); X3 = z(3,:);
Joint Probability - P(X1<=10, X2<=5, X3<=8) can be computed as :
>> prob = nnz(z(1,:)<=10 & z(2,:)<=5 & z(3,:)<=8)/10000;
Alternatively you can use sum instead of nnz.

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