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Electricity Load Forecasting for the Australian Market Case Study

version (13.7 MB) by David Willingham
This is a case study of forecasting short-term electricity loads for the Australian market.


Updated 01 Sep 2016

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This is a case study of how MATLAB can be used to forecast short-term electricity loads for the Australian market using Sydney temperature and NSW histroical load data sets. Nonlinear regression and neural network modeling techniques are used to demonstrate accurate modeling using historical, seasonal, day-of-the week, and temperature data.
Highlights include:

• Forecasting short-term electricity loads and prices

• Accessing data from regional wholesale electricity markets

• “White-box” modeling using customisable algorithms and viewable-source functions

• Automatic Report Publishing

This case study is for practitioners at power generators, utilities or energy trading groups whose focus is transmission planning, distribution operations, derivative valuation, or quantitative analysis. Familiarity with MATLAB is not required.

Cite As

David Willingham (2020). Electricity Load Forecasting for the Australian Market Case Study (, MATLAB Central File Exchange. Retrieved .

Comments and Ratings (11)

ya gao

HM01X_Data_066062_32826586401242.txt where is this text file


Kindly share the direct link to dataset used.

Do you have video explain on how to build this code

Hi David, is a recorded webinar of this case study available? I am actually carrying out a similar study. It would be a great input to me. Thanks.


Hi has someone modified it for a long term forecasting ?


Faiz Mahdi

Hi David

I am usinf Artificial Neural network in my work to predict a model that can be used same experiments information to predict new results with less error ratio in comparison to experimental and theoretical ones.

I have done some work and got results but the error ratio is still high.

If you can help me or you know any one how is doing this work please send me back on my email,




Updated license

Change to description

Added pdf of the presentation + file updates

MATLAB Release Compatibility
Created with R2011a
Compatible with any release
Platform Compatibility
Windows macOS Linux