Future Load Prediction with Neural Network Time Series Prediction

Hello,First of All I would like to explain my project.I have 5 years daily and hourly load data.Also I have another column indicates day type.I need to get next 5 days prediction of load values.When I tried to predict this,i saw that I should use NARX network Time series. So My dataset is like that;

913 days-Hour1,Hour2,....Hour24,Daytype,

and My targetset;

913 days-Hour1.Hour2,...,Hour24

My first Question:May dataset and targetset include different number of days? Second Question:When I run the network,I have 911 days prediction,however I have 913 days.When I searched in answer i saw that the reason is number of delays.How will I solve this problem?

Last Question:After the network is trained ,how i will get next 5 days prediction?I want to write last 5 days load data to get next 5 days load data.Could anyone help me please?I really need this.Thanks for your interests!

Answer 1

[Greg Heath]

load data: What does that mean? load of what?

day type: what does that mean? hot/warm/cold? windy/rainy/snowy? ;

If you have one series use narnet because you do not have an exogeneous input.

Find the statistically significant delays by using the autocorrelation function

Do not use the default dividerand. I recommend either divideblock or divideind

I have covered quite a bit in previous posts. Search the NEWSGROUP and ANSWERS using

 greg narnet

Hope this helps.

Greg

Thank you for formally accepting my answer

Greg

Answer 2

[Faik BATAN]

hello,thanks for your response. i want to project make more clear. load data means hourly electricity load data for turkey electricity transmission system, day type means the day which is holiday,weekday or weekend,and we have 5 type of day. dont care other question,just i want to know if i can do prediction for future days,there are many topics about that,but i saw no solution,just changed code blocks,and explain other things. So please tell me how i will get future prediction?is there any function or do i need to write a script for that? Thanks for interests!