estimateFrontierByRisk

Estimate optimal portfolios with targeted portfolio risks

Syntax

[pwgt,pbuy,psell] = estimateFrontierByRisk(obj,TargetRisk)

[pwgt,pbuy,psell] = estimateFrontierByRisk(___,Name,Value)

Description

[pwgt,pbuy,psell] = estimateFrontierByRisk(obj,TargetRisk) estimates optimal portfolios with targeted portfolio risks for Portfolio, PortfolioCVaR, or PortfolioMAD objects. For details on the respective workflows when using these different objects, see Portfolio Object Workflow, PortfolioCVaR Object Workflow, and PortfolioMAD Object Workflow.

[pwgt,pbuy,psell] = estimateFrontierByRisk(___,Name,Value) adds name-optional name-value pair arguments for Portfolio or PortfolioMAD objects.

Examples

Obtain Portfolios with Targeted Portfolio Risks for a Portfolio Object

To obtain efficient portfolios that have targeted portfolio risks, the estimateFrontierByRisk function accepts one or more target portfolio risks and obtains efficient portfolios with the specified risks. Assume you have a universe of four assets where you want to obtain efficient portfolios with target portfolio risks of 12%, 14%, and 16%. This example uses the default 'direct' method to estimate the optimal portfolios with targeted portfolio risks.

m = [ 0.05; 0.1; 0.12; 0.18 ];
C = [ 0.0064 0.00408 0.00192 0; 
      0.00408 0.0289 0.0204 0.0119;
      0.00192 0.0204 0.0576 0.0336;
      0 0.0119 0.0336 0.1225 ];
 
 p = Portfolio;
 p = setAssetMoments(p, m, C);
 p = setDefaultConstraints(p);
 pwgt = estimateFrontierByRisk(p, [0.12, 0.14, 0.16]);

 display(pwgt);

pwgt = 4×3

    0.3984    0.2659    0.1416
    0.3064    0.3791    0.4474
    0.0882    0.1010    0.1131
    0.2071    0.2540    0.2979

Obtain Portfolios with Targeted Portfolio Risks for a Portfolio Object with BoundType, MinNumAsset, and MaxNumAsset Constraints

When any one, or any combination of the constraints from 'Conditional' BoundType, MinNumAssets, and MaxNumAssets are active, the portfolio problem is formulated as mixed integer programming problem and the MINLP solver is used.

Create a Portfolio object for three assets.

AssetMean = [ 0.0101110; 0.0043532; 0.0137058 ];
AssetCovar = [ 0.00324625 0.00022983 0.00420395;
               0.00022983 0.00049937 0.00019247;
               0.00420395 0.00019247 0.00764097 ];  
p = Portfolio('AssetMean', AssetMean, 'AssetCovar', AssetCovar);
p = setDefaultConstraints(p);           

Use setBounds with semicontinuous constraints to set xi = 0 or 0.02 <= xi <= 0.5 for all i = 1,...NumAssets.

p = setBounds(p, 0.02, 0.7,'BoundType', 'Conditional', 'NumAssets', 3);                    

When working with a Portfolio object, the setMinMaxNumAssets function enables you to set up the limits on the number of assets invested (as known as cardinality) constraints. This sets the total number of allocated assets satisfying the Bound constraints that are between MinNumAssets and MaxNumAssets. By setting MinNumAssets = MaxNumAssets = 2, only two of the three assets are invested in the portfolio.

p = setMinMaxNumAssets(p, 2, 2);  

Use estimateFrontierByRisk to estimate optimal portfolios with targeted portfolio risks.

[pwgt, pbuy, psell] = estimateFrontierByRisk(p,[0.0324241, 0.0694534 ])

pwgt = 3×2

    0.0000    0.5000
    0.6907         0
    0.3093    0.5000

pbuy = 3×2

    0.0000    0.5000
    0.6907         0
    0.3093    0.5000

psell = 3×2

     0     0
     0     0
     0     0

The estimateFrontierByRisk function uses the MINLP solver to solve this problem. Use the setSolverMINLP function to configure the SolverType and options.

p.solverTypeMINLP

ans = 
'OuterApproximation'

p.solverOptionsMINLP

ans = struct with fields:
                           MaxIterations: 1000
                    AbsoluteGapTolerance: 1.0000e-07
                    RelativeGapTolerance: 1.0000e-05
                  NonlinearScalingFactor: 1000
                  ObjectiveScalingFactor: 1000
                                 Display: 'off'
                           CutGeneration: 'basic'
                MaxIterationsInactiveCut: 30
                      ActiveCutTolerance: 1.0000e-07
                  IntMasterSolverOptions: [1x1 optim.options.Intlinprog]
    NumIterationsEarlyIntegerConvergence: 30

Obtain Portfolios with Targeted Portfolio Risks for a Portfolio Object Using the Direct Method and Solver Options

To obtain efficient portfolios that have targeted portfolio risks, the estimateFrontierByRisk function accepts one or more target portfolio risks and obtains efficient portfolios with the specified risks. Assume you have a universe of four assets where you want to obtain efficient portfolios with target portfolio risks of 12%, 14%, and 16%. This example uses the default'direct' method to estimate the optimal portfolios with targeted portfolio risks. The 'direct' method uses fmincon to solve the optimization problem that maximizes portfolio return, subject to the target risk as the quadratic nonlinear constraint. setSolver specifies the solverType and SolverOptions for fmincon.

m = [ 0.05; 0.1; 0.12; 0.18 ];
C = [ 0.0064 0.00408 0.00192 0; 
      0.00408 0.0289 0.0204 0.0119;
      0.00192 0.0204 0.0576 0.0336;
      0 0.0119 0.0336 0.1225 ];
       
 p = Portfolio;
 p = setAssetMoments(p, m, C);
 p = setDefaultConstraints(p);
 
 p = setSolver(p, 'fmincon', 'Display', 'off', 'Algorithm', 'sqp', ...
        'SpecifyObjectiveGradient', true, 'SpecifyConstraintGradient', true, ...
        'ConstraintTolerance', 1.0e-8, 'OptimalityTolerance', 1.0e-8, 'StepTolerance', 1.0e-8); 

 pwgt = estimateFrontierByRisk(p, [0.12, 0.14, 0.16]);

 display(pwgt);

pwgt = 4×3

    0.3984    0.2659    0.1416
    0.3064    0.3791    0.4474
    0.0882    0.1010    0.1131
    0.2071    0.2540    0.2979

Obtain Portfolios with Targeted Portfolio Risks for a PortfolioCVaR Object

To obtain efficient portfolios that have targeted portfolio risks, the estimateFrontierByRisk function accepts one or more target portfolio risks and obtains efficient portfolios with the specified risks. Assume you have a universe of four assets where you want to obtain efficient portfolios with target portfolio risks of 12%, 20%, and 30%.

m = [ 0.05; 0.1; 0.12; 0.18 ];
C = [ 0.0064 0.00408 0.00192 0; 
    0.00408 0.0289 0.0204 0.0119;
    0.00192 0.0204 0.0576 0.0336;
    0 0.0119 0.0336 0.1225 ];

rng(11);

p = PortfolioCVaR;
p = simulateNormalScenariosByMoments(p, m, C, 2000);
p = setDefaultConstraints(p);
p = setProbabilityLevel(p, 0.95);

pwgt = estimateFrontierByRisk(p, [0.12, 0.20, 0.30]);

display(pwgt);

pwgt = 4×3

    0.5363    0.1387         0
    0.2655    0.4991    0.3830
    0.0570    0.1239    0.1461
    0.1412    0.2382    0.4709

The function rng($$seed$$) resets the random number generator to produce the documented results. It is not necessary to reset the random number generator to simulate scenarios.

Obtain Portfolios with Targeted Portfolio Risks for a PortfolioMAD Object

To obtain efficient portfolios that have targeted portfolio risks, the estimateFrontierByRisk function accepts one or more target portfolio risks and obtains efficient portfolios with the specified risks. Assume you have a universe of four assets where you want to obtain efficient portfolios with target portfolio risks of 12%, 20%, and 25%. This example uses the default 'direct' method to estimate the optimal portfolios with targeted portfolio risks.

m = [ 0.05; 0.1; 0.12; 0.18 ];
C = [ 0.0064 0.00408 0.00192 0; 
    0.00408 0.0289 0.0204 0.0119;
    0.00192 0.0204 0.0576 0.0336;
    0 0.0119 0.0336 0.1225 ];

rng(11);

p = PortfolioMAD;
p = simulateNormalScenariosByMoments(p, m, C, 2000);
p = setDefaultConstraints(p);

pwgt = estimateFrontierByRisk(p, [0.12, 0.20, 0.25]);

display(pwgt);

pwgt = 4×3

    0.1610         0         0
    0.4784    0.2137    0.0047
    0.1116    0.1384    0.1200
    0.2490    0.6480    0.8753

The function rng($$seed$$) resets the random number generator to produce the documented results. It is not necessary to reset the random number generator to simulate scenarios.

Obtain Portfolios with Targeted Portfolio Risks for a PortfolioMAD Object Using the Direct Method and Solver Options

To obtain efficient portfolios that have targeted portfolio risks, the estimateFrontierByRisk function accepts one or more target portfolio risks and obtains efficient portfolios with the specified risks. Assume you have a universe of four assets where you want to obtain efficient portfolios with target portfolio risks of 12%, 20%, and 25%. This example uses the default 'direct' method to estimate the optimal portfolios with targeted portfolio risks. The 'direct' method uses fmincon to solve the optimization problem that maximizes portfolio return, subject to the target risk as the quadratic nonlinear constraint. setSolver specifies the solverType and SolverOptions for fmincon.

m = [ 0.05; 0.1; 0.12; 0.18 ];
C = [ 0.0064 0.00408 0.00192 0; 
    0.00408 0.0289 0.0204 0.0119;
    0.00192 0.0204 0.0576 0.0336;
    0 0.0119 0.0336 0.1225 ];

rng(11);

p = PortfolioMAD;
p = simulateNormalScenariosByMoments(p, m, C, 2000);
p = setDefaultConstraints(p);

p = setSolver(p, 'fmincon', 'Display', 'off', 'Algorithm', 'sqp', ...
        'SpecifyObjectiveGradient', true, 'SpecifyConstraintGradient', true, ...
        'ConstraintTolerance', 1.0e-8, 'OptimalityTolerance', 1.0e-8, 'StepTolerance', 1.0e-8); 
    plotFrontier(p);

pwgt = estimateFrontierByRisk(p, [0.12 0.20, 0.25]);

display(pwgt);

pwgt = 4×3

    0.1613         0    0.0000
    0.4777    0.2139    0.0037
    0.1118    0.1381    0.1214
    0.2492    0.6480    0.8749

Input Arguments

obj — Object for portfolio

object

Object for portfolio, specified using Portfolio, PortfolioCVaR, or PortfolioMAD object. For more information on creating a portfolio object, see

• Portfolio

• PortfolioCVaR

• PortfolioMAD

Note

If no initial portfolio is specified in obj.InitPort, it is assumed to be 0 so that pbuy = max(0,pwgt) and psell = max(0,-pwgt). For more information on setting an initial portfolio, see setInitPort.

Data Types: object

TargetRisk — Target values for portfolio risk

vector

Target values for portfolio risk, specified as a NumPorts vector.

Note

If any TargetRisk values are outside the range of risks for efficient portfolios, the target risk is replaced with the minimum or maximum efficient portfolio risk, depending on whether the target risk is below or above the range of efficient portfolio risks.

Data Types: double

Name-Value Pair Arguments

Specify optional comma-separated pairs of Name,Value arguments. Name is the argument name and Value is the corresponding value. Name must appear inside quotes. You can specify several name and value pair arguments in any order as Name1,Value1,...,NameN,ValueN.

Example: [pwgt,pbuy,psell] = estimateFrontierByRisk(p,‘method’,‘direct’)

'Method' — Method to estimate frontier by risk for Portfolio or PortfolioMAD objects

'direct' (default) | character vector with value 'direct' or 'iterative'

Method to estimate frontier by risk for Portfolio or PortfolioMAD objects, specified as the comma-separated pair consisting of 'Method' and a character vector with one of the following values:

• 'direct' — Construct one optimization problem to maximize the portfolio return with target risk as the nonlinear constraint, and solve it directly using fmincon, instead of iteratively exploring the efficient frontier. For an example of using the 'direct' option, see Obtain Portfolios with Targeted Portfolio Risks for a Portfolio Object Using the Direct Method and Solver Options and Obtain Portfolios with Targeted Portfolio Risks for a PortfolioMAD Object Using the Direct Method and Solver Options.

• 'iterative' — One-dimensional optimization using fminbnd to find the portfolio return between min and max return on the frontier that minimizes the difference between the actual risk and target risk. Then the portfolio weights are obtained by solving a frontier by return problem. Consequently, the 'iterative' method is slower than the 'direct'.

Data Types: char

Output Arguments

pwgt — Optimal portfolios on efficient frontier with specified target risks

matrix

Optimal portfolios on the efficient frontier with specified target returns from TargetRisk, returned as a NumAssets-by-NumPorts matrix. pwgt is returned for a Portfolio, PortfolioCVaR, or PortfolioMAD input object (obj).

pbuy — Purchases relative to initial portfolio for optimal portfolios on efficient frontier

matrix

Purchases relative to an initial portfolio for optimal portfolios on the efficient frontier, returned as NumAssets-by-NumPorts matrix.

Note

If no initial portfolio is specified in obj.InitPort, that value is assumed to be 0 such that pbuy = max(0,pwgt) and psell = max(0,-pwgt).

pbuy is returned for a Portfolio, PortfolioCVaR, or PortfolioMAD input object (obj).

psell — Sales relative to initial portfolio for optimal portfolios on efficient frontier

matrix

Sales relative to an initial portfolio for optimal portfolios on the efficient frontier, returned as a NumAssets-by-NumPorts matrix.

Note

If no initial portfolio is specified in obj.InitPort, that value is assumed to be 0 such that pbuy = max(0,pwgt) and psell = max(0,-pwgt).

psell is returned for Portfolio, PortfolioCVaR, or PortfolioMAD input object (obj).

Tips

You can also use dot notation to estimate optimal portfolios with targeted portfolio risks.

[pwgt,pbuy,psell] = obj.estimateFrontierByRisk(TargetRisk);

or

[pwgt,pbuy,psell] = obj.estimateFrontierByRisk(TargetRisk,Name,Value);